Newsletter of Phenomenology

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(2002) Synthese 132 (1-2).

Causal probability

John L. Pollock

pp. 143-185

Examples growing out of the Newcomb problem have convinced many people that decision theory should proceed in terms of some kind of causal probability. I endorse this view and define and investigate a variety of causal probability. My definition is related to Skyrms' definition, but proceeds in terms of objective probabilities rather than subjective probabilities and avoids taking causal dependence as a primitive concept.

Publication details

DOI: 10.1023/A:1019631104110

Full citation:

Pollock, J. L. (2002). Causal probability. Synthese 132 (1-2), pp. 143-185.

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