Repository | Journal | Volume | Articles
(1992) Synthese 90 (2).
This article sketches a theory of objective probability focusing on nomic probability, which is supposed to be the kind of probability figuring in statistical laws of nature. The theory is based upon a strengthened probability calculus and some epistemological principles that formulate a precise version of the statistical syllogism. It is shown that from this rather minimal basis it is possible to derive theorems comprising (1) a theory of direct inference, and (2) a theory of induction. The theory of induction is not of the familiar Bayesian variety, but consists of a precise version of the traditional Nicod Principle and its statistical analogues.
Publication details
DOI: 10.1007/BF00485353
Full citation:
Pollock, J. L. (1992). The theory of nomic probability. Synthese 90 (2), pp. 263-299.
This document is unfortunately not available for download at the moment.